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6495.T$139.00-2.11%
Fair $139.00+0.0%

6495.T

Miyairi Valve Mfg. Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$139.00

-3.00 (-2.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $139.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $170.2M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6495.TLocal privado en este navegador · Miyairi Valve Mfg. Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.7B

P/E

110.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

34.1x

↑

ROE

-1.9%

↓

Gross Margin

15.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.66

↑
52-Week Range$139
$105$340

TradingView lightweight chart

6495.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $139.00Periodo +131.7%
Fair value: $139.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.3%

FCF / Net income

6.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.79B · net income $-74.8M · FCF $-492.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.4%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

1.2%-0.1% pts

Net margin

-1.1%-1.9% pts

FCF margin

-7.3%-15.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.79B$6.79B$6.16B$6.33B$5.39B
Net Income$-74.8M$-74.8M$176.8M$233.3M$40.7M
EBITDA$261.0M$261.0M$452.7M$484.5M$262.4M
EPS-1.55-1.553.684.850.85
Gross Margin15.4%15.4%19.3%18.7%15.7%
Operating Margin1.2%1.2%3.4%4.2%1.3%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%2.9%3.7%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.660.660.510.460.60
Current Ratio2.842.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-492.5M$-492.5M$170.2M$652.8M$465.1M
Returns
ROE-1.9%-1.9%4.2%5.7%1.0%
Valuation
P/E110.32110.3232.8830.52155.29
EV/EBITDA34.0534.0516.4817.7431.89
P/B1.681.681.391.741.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.2%10.2%-2.7%17.6%—
EPS Growth-142.1%-142.1%-24.1%470.6%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.9%

Total return

+28.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.68 → -1.55

Residual

+27.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+27.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.