StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
6496.T$4690.00-4.48%
Fair $4690.00+0.0%

6496.T

Nakakita Seisakusho Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$4690.00

-220.00 (-4.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4690.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.0B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6496.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nakakita Seisakusho Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.4B

P/E

10.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.2x

↓

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

17.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$4690
$3380$8550

TradingView lightweight chart

6496.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,690Periodo +378.6%
Fair value: $4,690

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.77B · net income $1.73B · FCF $-3.39B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.4%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

4.9%+1.7% pts

Net margin

7.3%+4.0% pts

FCF margin

-14.2%-14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$23.77B$23.77B$18.61B$15.78B$17.16B
Net Income$1.73B$1.73B$1.02B$806.4M$556.5M
EBITDA$2.71B$2.71B$1.68B$1.36B$1.05B
EPS490.83490.83288.54225.81155.84
Gross Margin17.4%17.4%18.3%18.7%15.1%
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%6.5%5.2%3.1%
Net Margin7.3%7.3%5.5%5.1%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.070.080.05
Current Ratio2.682.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.39B$-3.39B$501.9M$-1.98B$113.0M
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%4.1%3.5%2.5%
Valuation
P/E10.4910.4912.849.9913.41
EV/EBITDA5.215.215.893.082.01
P/B0.650.650.530.350.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.7%27.7%17.9%-8.0%—
EPS Growth70.1%70.1%27.8%44.9%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$416.16

Spread vs growth

75.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$503.55

Spread vs growth

69.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$810.98

Spread vs growth

65.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.7%

Total return

+35.7%

Start / end P/E

12.2x → 9.6x

EPS bridge

288.54 → 490.83

Residual

-15.1%

EPS growth+70.1%
Multiple rerating-21.6%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.