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6530.TWO$109.00+1.87%
Fair $109.00+0.0%

6530.TWO

Axcen Photonics Corporation

Technology / Communication EquipmentTaipei Exchange

$109.00

+2.00 (+1.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $109.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $69.1M · quality 85.7/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6530.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Axcen Photonics Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

56.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

35.2x

↑

ROE

13.5%

↑

Gross Margin

46.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$109
$47$139

TradingView lightweight chart

6530.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $109.00Periodo +263.3%
Fair value: $109.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

+7.0%

FCF margin

23.3%

FCF / Net income

1.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $327.8M · net income $65.8M · FCF $76.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.2%+1.5% pts

Operating margin

24.2%+2.0% pts

Net margin

20.1%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

23.3%+0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$327.8M$327.8M$280.9M$251.8M$274.2M
Net Income$65.8M$65.8M$55.4M$42.2M$53.8M
EBITDA$92.2M$92.2M$80.2M$63.2M$76.1M
EPS——1.631.241.57
Gross Margin46.2%46.2%43.2%42.9%44.7%
Operating Margin24.2%24.2%21.0%19.7%22.2%
Net Margin20.1%20.1%19.7%16.8%19.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.010.02
Current Ratio6.496.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$76.4M$76.4M$69.1M$49.2M$62.3M
Returns
ROE13.5%13.5%11.7%9.2%11.5%
Valuation
P/E56.1956.1942.2735.1214.52
EV/EBITDA35.1935.1923.9718.006.46
P/B7.577.574.943.231.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.7%16.7%11.6%-8.2%—
EPS Growth——31.5%-21.0%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +119.7%

Total return

+119.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.63 → n/d

Residual

+118.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+118.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.