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v0.1
6539.T$926.00-0.22%
Fair $926.00+0.0%

6539.T

Matching Service Japan Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Staffing & Employment ServicesTokyo

$926.00

-2.00 (-0.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $926.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 81.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 6539.TLocal privado en este navegador · Matching Service Japan Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.0B

P/E

22.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.8x

↓

ROE

10.7%

↑

Gross Margin

79.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$926
$907$1086

TradingView lightweight chart

6539.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $926.00Periodo +73.1%
Fair value: $926.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.7%

FCF CAGR

+6.9%

FCF margin

18.2%

FCF / Net income

1.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.47B · net income $1.03B · FCF $1.36B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

79.2%-20.7% pts

Operating margin

21.5%-20.5% pts

Net margin

13.8%-13.7% pts

FCF margin

18.2%-11.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.47B$7.47B$4.57B$4.29B$3.76B
Net Income$1.03B$1.03B$1.13B$1.22B$1.03B
EBITDA$2.15B$2.15B$1.75B$1.86B$1.66B
EPS41.5241.5245.4048.9341.32
Gross Margin79.2%79.2%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Operating Margin21.5%21.5%35.5%41.7%41.9%
Net Margin13.8%13.8%24.8%28.5%27.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.01——
Current Ratio5.325.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.36B$1.36B$1.00B$1.32B$1.12B
Returns
ROE10.7%10.7%11.1%11.7%10.8%
Valuation
P/E22.2222.2224.9619.8020.81
EV/EBITDA8.808.8013.608.318.48
P/B2.382.382.772.312.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth63.4%63.4%6.6%14.2%—
EPS Growth-8.5%-8.5%-7.2%18.4%—
Dividend Yield12.1%12.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$82.17

Spread vs growth

-34.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$99.42

Spread vs growth

-27.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$160.12

Spread vs growth

-23.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.6%

Total return

+11.6%

Start / end P/E

20.5x → 22.3x

EPS bridge

45.40 → 41.52

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growth-8.5%
Multiple rerating+8.8%
Dividend+12.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.