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6551.T$538.00-0.37%
Fair $538.00+0.0%

6551.T

Tsunagu Group Holdings, Inc.

Industrials / Staffing & Employment ServicesTokyo

$538.00

-2.00 (-0.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $538.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $550.2M · quality 78.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 6551.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tsunagu Group Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.5B

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.3x

↓

ROE

25.5%

↑

Gross Margin

43.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$538
$518$934

TradingView lightweight chart

6551.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $538.00Periodo -65.7%
Fair value: $538.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.8%

FCF CAGR

+50.6%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

2.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.27B · net income $511.4M · FCF $1.08B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.6%-3.7% pts

Operating margin

4.8%+3.1% pts

Net margin

2.8%-1.1% pts

FCF margin

5.9%+3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.27B$18.27B$16.39B$15.03B$12.72B
Net Income$511.4M$511.4M$358.3M$132.2M$491.7M
EBITDA$1.09B$1.09B$751.9M$580.9M$931.3M
EPS60.8260.8241.2715.2556.88
Gross Margin43.6%43.6%43.7%44.3%47.4%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%3.8%3.0%1.7%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%2.2%0.9%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.460.511.20
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.08B$1.08B$550.2M$546.5M$314.8M
Returns
ROE25.5%25.5%20.2%8.6%34.3%
Valuation
P/E8.588.5815.9252.136.63
EV/EBITDA3.253.257.4611.804.01
P/B2.252.253.224.502.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.5%11.5%9.1%18.1%—
EPS Growth47.4%47.4%170.6%-73.2%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$47.74

Spread vs growth

55.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$57.76

Spread vs growth

48.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$93.03

Spread vs growth

43.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.1%

Total return

-10.1%

Start / end P/E

15.1x → 8.8x

EPS bridge

41.27 → 60.82

Residual

-19.7%

EPS growth+47.4%
Multiple rerating-41.5%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.