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6561.T$756.00-0.53%
Fair $756.00+0.0%

6561.T

Hanatour Japan Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesTokyo

$756.00

-4.00 (-0.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $756.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.5B · quality 43.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6561.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hanatour Japan Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.5B

P/E

6.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

30.9%

↑

Gross Margin

79.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.95

↑
52-Week Range$756
$755$1165

TradingView lightweight chart

6561.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $756.00Periodo -62.3%
Fair value: $756.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+52.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

24.3%

FCF / Net income

1.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.18B · net income $1.39B · FCF $1.74B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

79.6%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

27.8%+97.0% pts

Net margin

19.3%+52.0% pts

FCF margin

24.3%+59.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.18B$7.18B$6.66B$5.15B$2.01B
Net Income$1.39B$1.39B$1.63B$1.22B$-657.4M
EBITDA$1.98B$1.98B$2.08B$1.23B$-137.9M
EPS——129.6097.32-52.36
Gross Margin79.6%79.6%78.1%73.4%75.6%
Operating Margin27.8%27.8%26.0%15.9%-69.2%
Net Margin19.3%19.3%24.4%23.7%-32.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.950.951.513.3211.14
Current Ratio2.272.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.74B$1.74B$1.50B$1.13B$-700.6M
Returns
ROE30.9%30.9%46.8%66.0%-101.5%
Valuation
P/E6.856.858.5617.31—
EV/EBITDA5.475.478.0120.51—
P/B2.122.124.0011.4331.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.8%7.8%29.3%156.1%—
EPS Growth——33.2%285.9%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.2%

Total return

-27.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

129.60 → n/d

Residual

-32.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.