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6565.T$1388.00+0.00%
Fair $1388.00+0.0%

6565.T

Abhotel Co Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingTokyo

$1388.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1388.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.6B · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6565.TLocal privado en este navegador · Abhotel Co Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.7B

P/E

6.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

19.9%

↑

Gross Margin

43.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.83

↑
52-Week Range$1388
$1365$1810

TradingView lightweight chart

6565.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,388Periodo -26.2%
Fair value: $1,388

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.68B · net income $2.54B · FCF $-528.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.3%+21.9% pts

Operating margin

37.1%+22.0% pts

Net margin

23.8%+14.9% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%-29.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.68B$10.68B$9.95B$8.80B$6.35B
Net Income$2.54B$2.54B$2.31B$1.81B$567.7M
EBITDA$4.84B$4.84B$4.44B$3.71B$1.74B
EPS179.36179.36163.14127.4840.05
Gross Margin43.3%43.3%42.2%39.7%21.4%
Operating Margin37.1%37.1%36.3%33.8%15.1%
Net Margin23.8%23.8%23.2%20.5%8.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.830.830.911.231.75
Current Ratio1.901.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-528.7M$-528.7M$1.58B$2.62B$1.55B
Returns
ROE19.9%19.9%22.2%21.8%8.7%
Valuation
P/E6.936.9311.1217.8830.31
EV/EBITDA5.035.036.6810.1914.56
P/B1.541.542.463.902.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.3%7.3%13.1%38.6%—
EPS Growth9.9%9.9%28.0%218.3%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$123.16

Spread vs growth

21.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$149.03

Spread vs growth

13.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$240.01

Spread vs growth

7.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.5%

Total return

-9.5%

Start / end P/E

9.6x → 7.7x

EPS bridge

163.14 → 179.36

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growth+9.9%
Multiple rerating-19.2%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.