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v0.1
6574.T$90.00-3.23%
Fair $90.00+0.0%

6574.T

Convano Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Personal ServicesTokyo

$90.00

-3.00 (-3.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $90.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $156.0M · quality 63.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6574.TLocal privado en este navegador · Convano Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$45.8B

P/E

506.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

95.2x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

39.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.40

↓
52-Week Range$90
$35$375

TradingView lightweight chart

6574.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $90.00Periodo +303.6%
Fair value: $90.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.8%

FCF CAGR

-17.4%

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

2.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.24B · net income $77.8M · FCF $156.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.8%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

4.2%+0.0% pts

Net margin

2.4%+0.0% pts

FCF margin

4.8%-8.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.24B$3.24B$2.59B$2.33B$2.14B
Net Income$77.8M$77.8M$-198.7M$-34.4M$51.0M
EBITDA$412.9M$412.9M$202.6M$210.3M$316.2M
EPS0.180.18-0.77-0.150.22
Gross Margin39.8%39.8%37.8%37.1%35.7%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%-2.3%-1.5%4.1%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%-7.7%-1.5%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.501.621.34
Current Ratio1.011.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$156.0M$156.0M$273.6M$90.8M$276.8M
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%-12.1%-4.2%6.0%
Valuation
P/E506.19506.19——32.20
EV/EBITDA95.1795.177.819.677.54
P/B22.6022.601.031.361.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.2%25.2%11.1%8.7%—
EPS Growth123.0%123.0%-410.7%-167.4%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

255.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.99

Spread vs growth

-132.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

122.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.66

Spread vs growth

0.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

56.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.56

Spread vs growth

66.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +103.3%

Total return

+103.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.77 → 0.18

Residual

+102.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+102.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.