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6597.T$6100.00+19.61%
Fair $6100.00+0.0%

6597.T

HPC SYSTEMS Inc.

Technology / Computer HardwareTokyo

$6100.00

+1000.00 (+19.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6100.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6597.TLocal privado en este navegador · HPC SYSTEMS Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.6B

P/E

48.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

49.5x

↑

ROE

12.0%

↑

Gross Margin

27.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$6100
$1300$6100

TradingView lightweight chart

6597.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6,100Periodo +203.5%
Fair value: $6,100

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.0%

FCF CAGR

+126.4%

FCF margin

58.0%

FCF / Net income

13.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.95B · net income $299.0M · FCF $4.03B

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

27.3%-3.6% pts

Operating margin

6.1%-5.5% pts

Net margin

4.3%-3.4% pts

FCF margin

58.0%+52.0% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$6.95B$6.95B$8.85B$6.02B$5.83B
Net Income$299.0M$299.0M$183.7M$432.9M$447.1M
EBITDA$521.4M$521.4M$377.3M$698.7M$735.4M
EPS69.0969.0942.42100.07—
Gross Margin27.3%27.3%18.8%30.9%31.0%
Operating Margin6.1%6.1%2.9%10.8%11.6%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%2.1%7.2%7.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.511.960.750.49
Current Ratio1.761.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.03B$4.03B$-2.92B$-1.21B$347.2M
Returns
ROE12.0%12.0%8.0%19.5%25.8%
Valuation
P/E48.4248.4251.0425.80—
EV/EBITDA49.5349.5333.7316.5119.56
P/B10.6110.614.075.038.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.6%-21.6%47.0%3.3%—
EPS Growth62.9%62.9%-57.6%——
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

98.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$541.27

Spread vs growth

-35.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

56.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$654.94

Spread vs growth

6.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1054.79

Spread vs growth

31.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +348.5%

Total return

+348.5%

Start / end P/E

32.1x → 88.3x

EPS bridge

42.42 → 69.09

Residual

+110.0%

EPS growth+62.9%
Multiple rerating+175.0%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+110.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.