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6601.HK$2.25-0.44%
Fair $2.25+0.0%

6601.HK

Cheerwin Group Limited

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsHKSE

$2.25

-0.01 (-0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.25Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $261.1M · quality 61.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6601.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Cheerwin Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

11.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

52.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

6601.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.250Periodo -71.8%
Fair value: $2.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.2%

FCF CAGR

+63.4%

FCF margin

13.1%

FCF / Net income

1.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.99B · net income $223.7M · FCF $261.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

52.6%+11.0% pts

Operating margin

8.8%+7.3% pts

Net margin

11.3%+6.7% pts

FCF margin

13.1%+9.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.99B$1.99B$1.82B$1.62B$1.45B
Net Income$223.7M$223.7M$203.4M$175.0M$66.1M
EBITDA$317.2M$317.2M$283.6M$254.2M$119.4M
EPS0.170.170.150.130.05
Gross Margin52.6%52.6%49.1%44.5%41.6%
Operating Margin8.8%8.8%10.3%9.1%1.5%
Net Margin11.3%11.3%11.2%10.8%4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.010.01
Current Ratio4.004.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$261.1M$261.1M$-5.3M$311.6M$59.9M
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%6.8%6.0%2.3%
Valuation
P/E11.8411.8411.6710.9736.09
EV/EBITDA5.135.135.404.1612.51
P/B0.990.990.790.660.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.2%9.2%12.7%11.7%—
EPS Growth10.0%10.0%16.1%164.7%—
Dividend Yield6.7%6.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

6.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.20

Spread vs growth

4.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.24

Spread vs growth

2.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.39

Spread vs growth

1.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.2%

Total return

-11.2%

Start / end P/E

18.0x → 13.4x

EPS bridge

0.15 → 0.17

Residual

-2.5%

EPS growth+10.0%
Multiple rerating-25.4%
Dividend+6.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.