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6612.T$571.00+0.18%
Fair $571.00+0.0%

6612.T

BALMUDA Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesTokyo

$571.00

+1.00 (+0.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $571.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-192.0M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -56.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6612.TLocal privado en este navegador · BALMUDA Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-56.8%

↓

Gross Margin

32.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.27

↓
52-Week Range$571
$568$920

TradingView lightweight chart

6612.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $571.00Periodo -85.2%
Fair value: $571.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.5%

FCF / Net income

0.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.12B · net income $-1.60B · FCF $-965.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.7%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

-8.6%-9.0% pts

Net margin

-15.8%-15.8% pts

FCF margin

-9.5%-10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.12B$10.12B$12.46B$13.01B$17.59B
Net Income$-1.60B$-1.60B$67.0M$-2.07B$3.0M
EBITDA$-1.23B$-1.23B$508.0M$-1.34B$574.0M
EPS-187.82-187.827.91-245.680.36
Gross Margin32.7%32.7%31.2%26.9%31.1%
Operating Margin-8.6%-8.6%0.1%-10.6%0.4%
Net Margin-15.8%-15.8%0.5%-15.9%0.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.100.340.22
Current Ratio2.792.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-965.0M$-965.0M$1.15B$-192.0M$231.0M
Returns
ROE-56.8%-56.8%1.5%-48.6%0.0%
Valuation
P/E——105.82—7091.67
EV/EBITDA——12.15—37.56
P/B1.731.731.632.723.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.8%-18.8%-4.2%-26.1%—
EPS Growth-2474.5%-2474.5%103.2%-68344.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -34.7%

Total return

-34.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

7.91 → -187.82

Residual

-34.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.