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6613.T$2423.00-0.04%
Fair $2423.00+0.0%

6613.T

QD Laser, Inc.

Technology / SemiconductorsTokyo

$2423.00

-1.00 (-0.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2423.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-589.9M · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -8.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6613.TLocal privado en este navegador · QD Laser, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$101.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-8.5%

↓

Gross Margin

33.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2423
$216$3620

TradingView lightweight chart

6613.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,423Periodo +214.7%
Fair value: $2,423

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-51.6%

FCF / Net income

1.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.31B · net income $-445.8M · FCF $-675.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.9%+39.3% pts

Operating margin

-34.1%+50.5% pts

Net margin

-34.1%+45.9% pts

FCF margin

-51.6%+17.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.31B$1.31B$1.25B$1.16B$1.10B
Net Income$-445.8M$-445.8M$-642.6M$-550.4M$-881.0M
EBITDA$-344.7M$-344.7M$-543.1M$-478.1M$-824.3M
EPS-10.68-10.68-15.44-15.16-25.17
Gross Margin33.9%33.9%25.6%30.2%-5.4%
Operating Margin-34.1%-34.1%-48.4%-48.0%-84.6%
Net Margin-34.1%-34.1%-51.5%-47.5%-80.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.000.000.03
Current Ratio10.6310.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-675.2M$-675.2M$-589.9M$-532.0M$-764.2M
Returns
ROE-8.5%-8.5%-11.3%-12.4%-24.6%
Valuation
P/B19.3919.393.864.446.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.9%4.9%7.6%5.3%—
EPS Growth30.8%30.8%-1.8%39.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +804.1%

Total return

+804.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-15.44 → -10.68

Residual

+804.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+804.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.