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6615.T$232.00-4.13%
Fair $232.00+0.0%

6615.T

UMC Electronics Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTokyo

$232.00

-10.00 (-4.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $232.00Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.5B · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.08, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -16.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6615.TLocal privado en este navegador · UMC Electronics Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

28.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.9x

↓

ROE

-16.4%

↓

Gross Margin

5.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.08

↑
52-Week Range$232
$232$435

TradingView lightweight chart

6615.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $232.00Periodo -79.3%
Fair value: $232.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

-2.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $131.94B · net income $-2.51B · FCF $7.29B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.7%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

1.6%+0.5% pts

Net margin

-1.9%-3.1% pts

FCF margin

5.5%+10.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$131.94B$131.94B$131.29B$161.71B$134.55B
Net Income$-2.51B$-2.51B$1.02B$637.0M$1.57B
EBITDA$5.47B$5.47B$5.07B$5.08B$5.17B
EPS-89.13-89.1336.1222.5455.47
Gross Margin5.7%5.7%5.6%5.1%5.7%
Operating Margin1.6%1.6%1.6%1.4%1.1%
Net Margin-1.9%-1.9%0.8%0.4%1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.082.081.822.121.57
Current Ratio0.950.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.29B$7.29B$4.51B$-2.82B$-5.96B
Returns
ROE-16.4%-16.4%5.2%3.5%9.2%
Valuation
P/E28.5728.579.8820.727.05
EV/EBITDA4.884.887.038.215.77
P/B0.430.430.510.730.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.5%0.5%-18.8%20.2%—
EPS Growth-346.8%-346.8%60.2%-59.4%—
Dividend Yield4.1%4.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.4%

Total return

-31.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

36.12 → -89.13

Residual

-35.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.