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6626.HK$1.81+0.00%
Fair $1.81+0.0%

6626.HK

Yuexiu Services Group Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$1.81

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.81Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 6626.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Yuexiu Services Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-1.5x

↓

ROE

7.8%

↑

Gross Margin

14.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

6626.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.810Periodo -62.9%
Fair value: $1.810

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.2%

FCF CAGR

-12.5%

FCF margin

12.6%

FCF / Net income

1.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.90B · net income $273.7M · FCF $489.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.8%-12.5% pts

Operating margin

6.8%-13.0% pts

Net margin

7.0%-9.7% pts

FCF margin

12.6%-16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.90B$3.90B$3.87B$3.22B$2.49B
Net Income$273.7M$273.7M$352.9M$487.0M$416.1M
EBITDA$463.3M$463.3M$573.2M$778.4M$658.1M
EPS——0.230.320.27
Gross Margin14.8%14.8%23.3%26.6%27.3%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%15.4%18.5%19.8%
Net Margin7.0%7.0%9.1%15.1%16.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.030.02
Current Ratio1.621.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$489.9M$489.9M$370.8M$674.1M$730.3M
Returns
ROE7.8%7.8%10.1%14.1%12.9%
Valuation
P/E8.628.6213.918.1216.26
EV/EBITDA-1.54-1.545.19-0.813.70
P/B0.770.771.391.152.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.9%0.9%20.0%29.7%—
EPS Growth——-28.1%18.5%—
Dividend Yield6.9%6.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.6%

Total return

-29.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.23 → n/d

Residual

-36.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.