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6627.T$10980.00-2.82%
Fair $10980.00+0.0%

6627.T

Tera Probe, Inc.

Technology / Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsTokyo

$10980.00

-320.00 (-2.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10980.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.7B · quality 42.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6627.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tera Probe, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$99.9B

P/E

29.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

28.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.72

↑
52-Week Range$10980
$2556$13470

TradingView lightweight chart

6627.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11,040Periodo +375.9%
Fair value: $10,980

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-23.3%

FCF / Net income

-2.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $41.75B · net income $3.37B · FCF $-9.74B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.2%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

21.3%+0.7% pts

Net margin

8.1%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

-23.3%-35.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$41.75B$41.75B$37.11B$35.40B$33.21B
Net Income$3.37B$3.37B$3.51B$4.09B$3.13B
EBITDA$23.92B$23.92B$21.53B$21.18B$19.61B
EPS370.23370.23385.75450.11344.56
Gross Margin28.2%28.2%25.9%27.3%28.2%
Operating Margin21.3%21.3%18.7%20.3%20.6%
Net Margin8.1%8.1%9.5%11.6%9.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.720.720.370.410.71
Current Ratio2.072.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.74B$-9.74B$2.66B$4.26B$3.93B
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%9.4%12.0%10.6%
Valuation
P/E29.6929.697.5013.294.73
EV/EBITDA4.794.791.322.681.02
P/B2.472.470.701.590.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.5%12.5%4.8%6.6%—
EPS Growth-4.0%-4.0%-14.3%30.6%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

38.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$974.29

Spread vs growth

-42.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1178.89

Spread vs growth

-30.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1898.62

Spread vs growth

-21.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +320.6%

Total return

+320.6%

Start / end P/E

6.8x → 29.8x

EPS bridge

385.75 → 370.23

Residual

-13.6%

EPS growth-4.0%
Multiple rerating+337.2%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.