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6812.HK$0.30+0.00%
Fair $0.30+0.0%

6812.HK

Winson Holdings Hong Kong Limited

Industrials / Waste ManagementHKSE

$0.30

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.30Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -5.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6812.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Winson Holdings Hong Kong Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$180M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-5.5%

↓

Gross Margin

8.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

6812.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.295Periodo -28.9%
Fair value: $0.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

-5.2%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

-2.60x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $478.6M · net income $-10.9M · FCF $28.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.9%-7.2% pts

Operating margin

-2.6%-8.2% pts

Net margin

-2.3%-6.9% pts

FCF margin

5.9%-1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$478.6M$478.6M$470.7M$462.2M$473.7M
Net Income$-10.9M$-10.9M$10.9M$24.7M$22.1M
EBITDA$-3.6M$-3.6M$19.7M$35.2M$33.2M
EPS-0.02-0.020.020.040.04
Gross Margin8.9%8.9%14.1%16.8%16.1%
Operating Margin-2.6%-2.6%2.3%6.3%5.6%
Net Margin-2.3%-2.3%2.3%5.4%4.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.02
Current Ratio2.892.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.4M$28.4M$-51.1M$47.2M$33.2M
Returns
ROE-5.5%-5.5%5.2%11.7%11.3%
Valuation
P/E——11.114.8310.41
EV/EBITDA——1.46-0.933.57
P/B0.910.910.570.561.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%1.8%-2.4%—
EPS Growth-200.0%-200.0%-56.1%10.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +89.1%

Total return

+89.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → -0.02

Residual

+89.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+89.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.