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6831.HK$7.42+1.92%
Fair $7.42+0.0%

6831.HK

Green Tea Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsHKSE

$7.42

+0.14 (+1.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.42Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $486.3M · quality 68.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6831.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Green Tea Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

8.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

27.8%

↑

Gross Margin

38.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.73

↑
52-Week Range$7
$5$10

TradingView lightweight chart

6831.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.420Periodo +18.0%
Fair value: $7.420

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.1%

FCF CAGR

+76.6%

FCF margin

14.8%

FCF / Net income

1.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.76B · net income $486.5M · FCF $703.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.7%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

13.4%+9.9% pts

Net margin

10.2%+9.5% pts

FCF margin

14.8%+9.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.76B$4.76B$3.84B$3.59B$2.38B
Net Income$486.5M$486.5M$350.2M$295.5M$16.6M
EBITDA$1.11B$1.11B$884.7M$800.6M$409.4M
EPS0.800.800.520.440.02
Gross Margin38.7%38.7%38.1%39.2%35.2%
Operating Margin13.4%13.4%12.0%12.2%3.4%
Net Margin10.2%10.2%9.1%8.2%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.730.731.432.431.93
Current Ratio1.751.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$703.8M$703.8M$396.1M$486.3M$127.9M
Returns
ROE27.8%27.8%45.4%71.3%3.5%
Valuation
P/E7.987.98———
EV/EBITDA4.144.14———
P/B2.592.59———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.1%24.1%6.9%51.1%—
EPS Growth53.9%53.9%18.5%1682.6%—
Dividend Yield7.0%7.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

60.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

53.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.28

Spread vs growth

49.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.4%

Total return

+35.4%

Start / end P/E

11.1x → 9.3x

EPS bridge

0.52 → 0.80

Residual

-8.9%

EPS growth+53.9%
Multiple rerating-16.6%
Dividend+7.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.