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6863.T$2656.00+1.26%
Fair $2656.00+0.0%

6863.T

Nireco Corporation

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsTokyo

$2656.00

+33.00 (+1.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2656.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 79/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $892.4M · quality 71.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

79/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6863.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nireco Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.0B

P/E

13.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

41.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$2656
$1712$2696

TradingView lightweight chart

6863.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,656Periodo +391.9%
Fair value: $2,656

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.8%

FCF CAGR

+15.4%

FCF margin

12.1%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.76B · net income $1.56B · FCF $1.30B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.8%+5.9% pts

Operating margin

17.7%+10.8% pts

Net margin

14.5%+9.5% pts

FCF margin

12.1%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.76B$10.76B$9.86B$9.16B$8.12B
Net Income$1.56B$1.56B$1.01B$860.5M$406.2M
EBITDA$2.38B$2.38B$1.81B$1.54B$944.5M
EPS208.14208.14135.09115.4054.61
Gross Margin41.8%41.8%39.8%39.2%35.9%
Operating Margin17.7%17.7%14.1%12.9%6.9%
Net Margin14.5%14.5%10.3%9.4%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.03
Current Ratio6.206.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.30B$1.30B$892.4M$135.7M$849.2M
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%6.4%5.9%2.9%
Valuation
P/E13.7013.7014.708.7215.44
EV/EBITDA6.416.415.902.181.95
P/B1.201.200.940.510.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.1%9.1%7.7%12.8%—
EPS Growth54.1%54.1%17.1%111.3%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$235.68

Spread vs growth

49.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$285.17

Spread vs growth

47.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$459.27

Spread vs growth

45.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +56.9%

Total return

+56.9%

Start / end P/E

12.9x → 12.8x

EPS bridge

135.09 → 208.14

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growth+54.1%
Multiple rerating-1.2%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.