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688138.SS$31.64-2.09%
Fair $31.64+0.0%

688138.SS

Shenzhen Qingyi Photomask Limited

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShanghai

$31.64

-0.65 (-2.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $31.64Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-356.7M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 688138.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Qingyi Photomask Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.0B

P/E

51.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.9x

↑

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

31.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.27

↑
52-Week Range$32
$25$37

TradingView lightweight chart

688138.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.49Periodo +56.0%
Fair value: $31.64

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-55.3%

FCF / Net income

-3.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.24B · net income $187.3M · FCF $-685.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.1%+6.0% pts

Operating margin

20.1%+5.6% pts

Net margin

15.1%+2.1% pts

FCF margin

-55.3%-60.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.24B$1.24B$1.11B$924.2M$762.2M
Net Income$187.3M$187.3M$172.0M$133.9M$99.0M
EBITDA$375.8M$375.8M$345.6M$273.9M$216.6M
EPS0.630.630.650.500.37
Gross Margin31.1%31.1%29.6%27.6%25.2%
Operating Margin20.1%20.1%19.1%17.2%14.6%
Net Margin15.1%15.1%15.5%14.5%13.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.470.270.13
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-685.3M$-685.3M$-356.7M$-48.2M$36.9M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%11.6%9.7%7.7%
Valuation
P/E51.0251.0232.2640.9251.22
EV/EBITDA24.8924.8917.0420.1223.16
P/B3.333.333.743.963.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.5%11.5%20.4%21.3%—
EPS Growth-3.1%-3.1%30.0%35.1%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

64.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.81

Spread vs growth

-67.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

40.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.40

Spread vs growth

-43.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.47

Spread vs growth

-27.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.9%

Total return

+15.9%

Start / end P/E

40.8x → 48.4x

EPS bridge

0.65 → 0.63

Residual

-0.6%

EPS growth-3.1%
Multiple rerating+18.7%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.