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688148.SS$8.32-3.93%
Fair $8.32+0.0%

688148.SS

Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShanghai

$8.32

-0.34 (-3.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.32Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 5/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-99.5M · quality 25.3/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.90, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -21.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688148.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

832.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

41.7x

↑

ROE

-21.2%

↓

Gross Margin

6.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.90

↑
52-Week Range$8
$4$14

TradingView lightweight chart

688148.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.320Periodo -76.1%
Fair value: $8.320

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

0.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.28B · net income $-103.3M · FCF $-99.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.2%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

0.2%-2.3% pts

Net margin

-4.5%-4.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%+17.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.28B$2.28B$2.16B$2.10B$2.94B
Net Income$-103.3M$-103.3M$-426.8M$-455.4M$5.2M
EBITDA$140.0M$140.0M$-165.3M$-337.0M$95.4M
EPS-0.21-0.21-0.85-0.890.01
Gross Margin6.2%6.2%-5.2%2.6%11.0%
Operating Margin0.2%0.2%-11.4%-6.9%2.5%
Net Margin-4.5%-4.5%-19.7%-21.7%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.903.903.421.680.95
Current Ratio0.950.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-99.5M$-99.5M$-1.2M$-750.8M$-653.3M
Returns
ROE-21.2%-21.2%-76.1%-43.5%0.3%
Valuation
P/E832.00832.00——1535.00
EV/EBITDA41.6541.65——90.89
P/B8.428.424.133.515.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.4%5.4%2.8%-28.4%—
EPS Growth75.3%75.3%4.5%-9000.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +78.2%

Total return

+78.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.85 → -0.21

Residual

+78.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+78.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.