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688152.SS$32.70-2.07%
Fair $32.70+0.0%

688152.SS

Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureShanghai

$32.70

-0.69 (-2.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.70Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-12.3M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688152.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

68.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$33
$31$68

TradingView lightweight chart

688152.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.70Periodo -70.6%
Fair value: $32.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.9%

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $310.3M · net income $-58.1M · FCF $-9.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.4%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

7.9%-28.8% pts

Net margin

-18.7%-50.9% pts

FCF margin

-2.9%+9.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$310.3M$310.3M$286.4M$163.4M$400.4M
Net Income$-58.1M$-58.1M$7.9M$-30.1M$128.9M
EBITDA$-56.4M$-56.4M$17.5M$-33.9M$151.5M
EPS-0.57-0.570.08-0.291.46
Gross Margin68.4%68.4%70.8%64.8%70.4%
Operating Margin7.9%7.9%7.8%-33.3%36.7%
Net Margin-18.7%-18.7%2.8%-18.4%32.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.030.02
Current Ratio10.3110.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.0M$-9.0M$-12.3M$-52.3M$-50.2M
Returns
ROE-4.8%-4.8%0.6%-2.4%9.7%
Valuation
P/E——461.54—67.95
EV/EBITDA——200.86—53.61
P/B2.742.742.954.096.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.4%8.4%75.2%-59.2%—
EPS Growth-812.5%-812.5%127.4%-120.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.3%

Total return

-24.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.08 → -0.57

Residual

-24.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-24.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.