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688228.SS$89.38-0.69%
Fair $89.38+0.0%

688228.SS

UCAP Cloud Information Technology Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureShanghai

$89.38

-0.62 (-0.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $89.38Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $29.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688228.SSLocal privado en este navegador · UCAP Cloud Information Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

366.8x

↑

ROE

-0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

39.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$89
$56$280

TradingView lightweight chart

688228.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $89.38Periodo -0.8%
Fair value: $89.38

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.4%

FCF / Net income

-3.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $418.8M · net income $-11.0M · FCF $39.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.5%-4.0% pts

Operating margin

0.4%-10.8% pts

Net margin

-2.6%-20.3% pts

FCF margin

9.4%+18.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$418.8M$418.8M$617.6M$693.8M$554.9M
Net Income$-11.0M$-11.0M$20.6M$41.2M$98.0M
EBITDA$15.5M$15.5M$42.2M$77.9M$139.3M
EPS-0.17-0.170.310.621.46
Gross Margin39.5%39.5%37.5%42.5%43.5%
Operating Margin0.4%0.4%4.6%10.4%11.2%
Net Margin-2.6%-2.6%3.3%5.9%17.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.140.150.11
Current Ratio3.363.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$39.3M$39.3M$-80.3M$29.4M$-50.9M
Returns
ROE-0.9%-0.9%1.6%3.2%7.7%
Valuation
P/E——132.26101.3723.80
EV/EBITDA366.76366.7663.1347.9114.07
P/B4.514.512.093.221.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-32.2%-32.2%-11.0%25.0%—
EPS Growth-154.8%-154.8%-50.0%-57.5%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.9%

Total return

+41.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.31 → -0.17

Residual

+41.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+41.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.