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688285.SS$8.04-2.31%
Fair $8.04+0.0%

688285.SS

China Railway High-speed Electrification Equipment Corporation Limited

Industrials / RailroadsShanghai

$8.04

-0.19 (-2.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.04Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-6.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688285.SSLocal privado en este navegador · China Railway High-speed Electrification Equipment Corporation Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

50.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.5x

↑

ROE

3.0%

↓

Gross Margin

18.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$8
$8$10

TradingView lightweight chart

688285.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.040Periodo -24.5%
Fair value: $8.040

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.18B · net income $51.5M · FCF $-6.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.3%-3.3% pts

Operating margin

7.9%-4.1% pts

Net margin

4.4%-5.2% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%+1.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.18B$1.18B$1.01B$1.20B$1.49B
Net Income$51.5M$51.5M$45.1M$55.1M$141.7M
EBITDA$118.1M$118.1M$92.1M$103.5M$204.0M
EPS0.140.140.120.150.38
Gross Margin18.3%18.3%19.4%18.6%21.6%
Operating Margin7.9%7.9%7.5%7.1%12.0%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%4.5%4.6%9.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.130.130.14
Current Ratio1.791.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.8M$-6.8M$32.2M$-104.0M$-36.0M
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%2.7%3.4%8.9%
Valuation
P/E50.2550.2557.3060.5520.61
EV/EBITDA22.4622.4623.7828.4611.65
P/B1.791.791.572.071.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.2%17.2%-16.2%-19.2%—
EPS Growth14.1%14.1%-18.2%-61.4%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

73.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.71

Spread vs growth

-59.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

44.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.86

Spread vs growth

-30.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.39

Spread vs growth

-12.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.5%

Total return

-0.5%

Start / end P/E

67.6x → 58.8x

EPS bridge

0.12 → 0.14

Residual

-1.8%

EPS growth+14.1%
Multiple rerating-13.0%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.