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688288.SS$21.54+2.38%
Fair $21.54+0.0%

688288.SS

Hangzhou Hopechart IoT Technology Co.,Ltd

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsShanghai

$21.54

+0.50 (+2.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.54Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-57.5M · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688288.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Hopechart IoT Technology Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

1077.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

38.9x

↑

ROE

4.0%

↓

Gross Margin

36.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.23

↑
52-Week Range$22
$21$35

TradingView lightweight chart

688288.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.54Periodo -31.1%
Fair value: $21.54

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+42.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $697.8M · net income $30.2M · FCF $-57.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.4%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+54.6% pts

Net margin

4.3%+48.6% pts

FCF margin

-8.2%+54.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$697.8M$697.8M$523.2M$409.3M$239.7M
Net Income$30.2M$30.2M$-2.9M$-71.6M$-106.0M
EBITDA$59.8M$59.8M$25.4M$-30.5M$-83.1M
EPS0.300.30-0.03-0.71-1.06
Gross Margin36.4%36.4%37.3%38.3%35.4%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%3.0%-11.7%-45.6%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%-0.6%-17.5%-44.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.240.140.09
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-57.5M$-57.5M$-41.7M$-109.1M$-151.4M
Returns
ROE4.0%4.0%-0.4%-9.6%-13.2%
Valuation
P/E1077.001077.00———
EV/EBITDA38.8638.8658.91——
P/B2.872.871.973.152.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth33.4%33.4%27.8%70.8%—
EPS Growth1100.0%1100.0%95.8%33.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

85.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.91

Spread vs growth

1014.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.31

Spread vs growth

1049.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.72

Spread vs growth

1071.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.8%

Total return

-30.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → 0.30

Residual

-30.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.