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688355.SS$19.04-2.71%
Fair $19.04+0.0%

688355.SS

Suzhou Mingzhi Technology Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Metal FabricationShanghai

$19.04

-0.53 (-2.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.04Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $85.3M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 688355.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Suzhou Mingzhi Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

33.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.7x

↑

ROE

7.3%

↑

Gross Margin

35.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$19
$16$25

TradingView lightweight chart

688355.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.04Periodo -30.0%
Fair value: $19.04

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

41.3%

FCF / Net income

2.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $530.5M · net income $79.9M · FCF $219.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.0%+7.4% pts

Operating margin

7.7%+3.2% pts

Net margin

15.1%+9.0% pts

FCF margin

41.3%+61.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$530.5M$530.5M$631.5M$533.5M$612.7M
Net Income$79.9M$79.9M$66.3M$14.7M$37.0M
EBITDA$130.2M$130.2M$115.8M$49.4M$64.9M
EPS0.650.650.540.120.30
Gross Margin35.0%35.0%32.5%27.8%27.6%
Operating Margin7.7%7.7%12.6%1.1%4.4%
Net Margin15.1%15.1%10.5%2.7%6.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.040.070.15
Current Ratio2.102.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$219.1M$219.1M$85.3M$22.3M$-126.5M
Returns
ROE7.3%7.3%6.1%1.4%3.5%
Valuation
P/E33.4033.4029.48153.33120.87
EV/EBITDA17.6917.6916.2143.2369.30
P/B2.122.121.802.124.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.0%-16.0%18.4%-12.9%—
EPS Growth20.4%20.4%350.0%-60.0%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

37.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.69

Spread vs growth

-17.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.04

Spread vs growth

-5.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.29

Spread vs growth

2.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.1%

Total return

+11.1%

Start / end P/E

32.5x → 29.3x

EPS bridge

0.54 → 0.65

Residual

-2.0%

EPS growth+20.4%
Multiple rerating-9.8%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.