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688358.SS$31.86-4.32%
Fair $31.86+0.0%

688358.SS

Chison Medical Technologies Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Medical DevicesShanghai

$31.86

-1.44 (-4.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $31.86Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $92.8M · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 688358.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Chison Medical Technologies Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.6B

P/E

29.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

18.0x

↑

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

59.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$32
$27$45

TradingView lightweight chart

688358.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $31.86Periodo -13.5%
Fair value: $31.86

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

+100.4%

FCF margin

21.3%

FCF / Net income

0.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $435.8M · net income $116.5M · FCF $92.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

59.1%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

23.0%+2.5% pts

Net margin

26.7%-1.1% pts

FCF margin

21.3%+18.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$435.8M$435.8M$468.7M$483.8M$380.8M
Net Income$116.5M$116.5M$140.5M$146.5M$105.8M
EBITDA$142.6M$142.6M$172.0M$158.2M$125.8M
EPS1.041.041.261.330.94
Gross Margin59.1%59.1%59.0%58.1%59.3%
Operating Margin23.0%23.0%23.9%27.1%20.4%
Net Margin26.7%26.7%30.0%30.3%27.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.010.00
Current Ratio10.2110.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$92.8M$92.8M$131.8M$51.9M$11.5M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%9.9%10.7%8.1%
Valuation
P/E29.5029.5018.6425.9440.40
EV/EBITDA17.9817.989.5419.7330.49
P/B2.582.581.842.783.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.0%-7.0%-3.1%27.0%—
EPS Growth-17.5%-17.5%-5.3%41.5%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

39.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.83

Spread vs growth

-57.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.42

Spread vs growth

-44.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.51

Spread vs growth

-35.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.8%

Total return

+13.8%

Start / end P/E

23.0x → 30.6x

EPS bridge

1.26 → 1.04

Residual

-5.8%

EPS growth-17.5%
Multiple rerating+33.2%
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.