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688379.SS$67.69+1.56%
Fair $67.69+0.0%

688379.SS

Hangzhou Huaguang Advanced Welding Materials Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Metal FabricationShanghai

$67.69

+1.04 (+1.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $67.69Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-246.4M · quality 51.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 688379.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Huaguang Advanced Welding Materials Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

45.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.3x

↑

ROE

16.0%

↑

Gross Margin

12.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.94

↑
52-Week Range$68
$28$85

TradingView lightweight chart

688379.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $67.69Periodo +34.8%
Fair value: $67.69

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+27.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.56B · net income $188.1M · FCF $-222.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.9%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+4.1% pts

Net margin

7.4%+6.6% pts

FCF margin

-8.7%+27.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.56B$2.56B$1.92B$1.42B$1.22B
Net Income$188.1M$188.1M$80.6M$41.6M$8.7M
EBITDA$291.6M$291.6M$160.6M$97.6M$45.1M
EPS2.162.160.940.480.10
Gross Margin12.9%12.9%13.8%12.8%10.2%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%6.9%5.5%3.0%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%4.2%2.9%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.940.940.900.700.60
Current Ratio1.261.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-222.8M$-222.8M$-315.3M$-246.4M$-439.1M
Returns
ROE16.0%16.0%8.1%4.4%1.0%
Valuation
P/E45.7445.7421.9841.27181.80
EV/EBITDA23.3223.3215.3922.2244.20
P/B5.035.031.781.831.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth33.3%33.3%35.5%16.0%—
EPS Growth129.8%129.8%95.8%380.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

40.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.01

Spread vs growth

89.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.27

Spread vs growth

102.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.70

Spread vs growth

111.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +134.0%

Total return

+134.0%

Start / end P/E

30.8x → 31.3x

EPS bridge

0.94 → 2.16

Residual

+2.4%

EPS growth+129.8%
Multiple rerating+1.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.