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688391.SS$30.23-1.02%
Fair $30.23+0.0%

688391.SS

Hi-Trend Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.

Technology / SemiconductorsShanghai

$30.23

-0.32 (-1.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.23Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $34.5M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688391.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hi-Trend Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

94.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

58.4x

↑

ROE

2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

39.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$30
$27$36

TradingView lightweight chart

688391.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.90Periodo -53.0%
Fair value: $30.23

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.1%

FCF / Net income

-3.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $538.7M · net income $42.9M · FCF $-129.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.2%-12.1% pts

Operating margin

-1.7%-29.0% pts

Net margin

8.0%-20.2% pts

FCF margin

-24.1%-21.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$538.7M$538.7M$591.9M$603.0M$709.9M
Net Income$42.9M$42.9M$93.6M$131.4M$200.1M
EBITDA$50.3M$50.3M$103.7M$135.3M$206.4M
EPS0.370.370.801.092.03
Gross Margin39.2%39.2%44.1%49.7%51.3%
Operating Margin-1.7%-1.7%7.4%19.5%27.3%
Net Margin8.0%8.0%15.8%21.8%28.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio24.4424.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-129.9M$-129.9M$85.3M$34.5M$-18.7M
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%5.0%6.4%10.0%
Valuation
P/E94.4794.4735.3529.5225.54
EV/EBITDA58.3858.3825.8627.5421.67
P/B1.881.881.771.902.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.0%-9.0%-1.9%-15.1%—
EPS Growth-53.3%-53.3%-26.7%-46.6%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

93.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.68

Spread vs growth

-146.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

54.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.25

Spread vs growth

-107.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

30.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.23

Spread vs growth

-83.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.3%

Total return

+11.3%

Start / end P/E

35.5x → 83.1x

EPS bridge

0.80 → 0.37

Residual

-71.5%

EPS growth-53.3%
Multiple rerating+134.2%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-71.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.