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688408.SS$33.12-4.66%
Fair $33.12+0.0%

688408.SS

Arctech Solar Holding Co., Ltd.

Technology / SolarShanghai

$33.12

-1.62 (-4.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $33.12Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-251.3M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688408.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Arctech Solar Holding Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

29.6x

↑

ROE

-0.2%

↓

Gross Margin

17.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$33
$33$56

TradingView lightweight chart

688408.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $33.12Periodo -36.6%
Fair value: $33.12

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-22.9%

FCF / Net income

156.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.88B · net income $-10.1M · FCF $-1.58B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.1%+4.7% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+2.4% pts

Net margin

-0.1%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

-22.9%-7.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.88B$6.88B$9.03B$6.39B$3.70B
Net Income$-10.1M$-10.1M$631.5M$345.0M$44.4M
EBITDA$213.5M$213.5M$936.4M$520.1M$103.1M
EPS-0.05-0.053.111.710.22
Gross Margin17.1%17.1%18.6%17.9%12.4%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%11.1%9.2%3.1%
Net Margin-0.1%-0.1%7.0%5.4%1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.320.270.18
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.58B$-1.58B$-251.3M$513.4M$-561.9M
Returns
ROE-0.2%-0.2%14.3%12.3%1.8%
Valuation
P/E——21.5725.79331.97
EV/EBITDA29.5829.5813.0014.80133.08
P/B1.631.633.093.175.91
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.7%-23.7%41.3%72.6%—
EPS Growth-101.6%-101.6%81.9%672.1%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.3%

Total return

-27.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.11 → -0.05

Residual

-30.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.