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688439.SS$49.49-2.54%
Fair $49.49+0.0%

688439.SS

Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor Co., Ltd.

Technology / SemiconductorsShanghai

$49.49

-1.29 (-2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $49.49Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-369.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 0/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688439.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.9B

P/E

75.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

38.3x

↑

ROE

3.4%

↓

Gross Margin

60.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$49
$47$71

TradingView lightweight chart

688439.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $49.49Periodo -50.6%
Fair value: $49.49

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

60.3%

FCF / Net income

2.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $771.6M · net income $170.0M · FCF $465.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.4%-16.9% pts

Operating margin

19.4%-31.6% pts

Net margin

22.0%-16.9% pts

FCF margin

60.3%+107.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$771.6M$771.6M$1.00B$1.30B$778.9M
Net Income$170.0M$170.0M$287.7M$610.6M$303.0M
EBITDA$237.6M$237.6M$403.7M$748.2M$414.9M
EPS0.850.851.443.051.82
Gross Margin60.4%60.4%67.3%74.5%77.4%
Operating Margin19.4%19.4%40.5%52.9%51.0%
Net Margin22.0%22.0%28.7%47.1%38.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.020.03
Current Ratio12.9012.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$465.1M$465.1M$-429.0M$-369.2M$-371.3M
Returns
ROE3.4%3.4%5.9%12.9%7.2%
Valuation
P/E74.9874.9833.1527.1364.75
EV/EBITDA38.3038.3022.9220.5840.33
P/B1.971.971.953.504.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.1%-23.1%-22.6%66.5%—
EPS Growth-40.9%-40.9%-52.9%67.9%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

72.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.39

Spread vs growth

-113.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

44.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.31

Spread vs growth

-85.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.56

Spread vs growth

-66.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.5%

Total return

-10.5%

Start / end P/E

38.6x → 58.2x

EPS bridge

1.44 → 0.85

Residual

-20.8%

EPS growth-40.9%
Multiple rerating+50.8%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.