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688468.SS$6.59-2.37%
Fair $6.59+0.0%

688468.SS

Chemclin Diagnostics Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Diagnostics & ResearchShanghai

$6.59

-0.16 (-2.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.59Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.0M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688468.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Chemclin Diagnostics Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

73.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.5x

↑

ROE

3.1%

↑

Gross Margin

66.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$9

TradingView lightweight chart

688468.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.590Periodo -73.6%
Fair value: $6.590

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.6%

FCF CAGR

-41.4%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $332.7M · net income $43.9M · FCF $24.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.5%-7.9% pts

Operating margin

14.0%-18.0% pts

Net margin

13.2%-19.6% pts

FCF margin

7.2%-18.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$332.7M$332.7M$436.3M$445.3M$465.3M
Net Income$43.9M$43.9M$127.1M$147.4M$152.6M
EBITDA$112.7M$112.7M$196.9M$215.9M$229.1M
EPS0.110.110.320.370.38
Gross Margin66.5%66.5%74.7%75.4%74.4%
Operating Margin14.0%14.0%28.8%33.2%32.0%
Net Margin13.2%13.2%29.1%33.1%32.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.180.170.01
Current Ratio4.774.77———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$24.0M$24.0M$60.5M$-128.3M$119.3M
Returns
ROE3.1%3.1%9.0%10.6%11.1%
Valuation
P/E73.2273.2220.1627.7826.74
EV/EBITDA24.4524.4512.2517.9816.37
P/B1.861.861.812.952.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.7%-23.7%-2.0%-4.3%—
EPS Growth-65.6%-65.6%-13.5%-2.6%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

74.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.58

Spread vs growth

-140.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

45.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.71

Spread vs growth

-110.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.14

Spread vs growth

-92.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.3%

Total return

-9.3%

Start / end P/E

23.2x → 59.9x

EPS bridge

0.32 → 0.11

Residual

-103.9%

EPS growth-65.6%
Multiple rerating+158.4%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-103.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.