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688528.SS$11.76+3.52%
Fair $11.76+0.0%

688528.SS

Chengdu Qinchuan IoT Technology Co.Ltd.

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsShanghai

$11.76

+0.40 (+3.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.76Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-39.0M · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -25.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688528.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Chengdu Qinchuan IoT Technology Co.Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-25.4%

↓

Gross Margin

13.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.32

↑
52-Week Range$12
$9$15

TradingView lightweight chart

688528.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.76Periodo -63.8%
Fair value: $11.76

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.5%

FCF / Net income

0.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $270.0M · net income $-115.8M · FCF $-39.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.2%-17.3% pts

Operating margin

-38.1%-37.5% pts

Net margin

-42.9%-43.3% pts

FCF margin

-14.5%+2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$270.0M$270.0M$320.5M$327.0M$367.9M
Net Income$-115.8M$-115.8M$-65.2M$-59.2M$1.4M
EBITDA$-58.3M$-58.3M$-33.9M$-39.3M$27.2M
EPS-0.73-0.73-0.41-0.350.01
Gross Margin13.2%13.2%22.7%25.8%30.5%
Operating Margin-38.1%-38.1%-24.8%-19.6%-0.5%
Net Margin-42.9%-42.9%-20.4%-18.1%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.280.190.13
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-39.0M$-39.0M$-3.0M$-102.9M$-62.2M
Returns
ROE-25.4%-25.4%-12.0%-8.6%0.2%
Valuation
P/E————1050.00
EV/EBITDA————46.70
P/B4.094.092.372.741.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.8%-15.8%-2.0%-11.1%—
EPS Growth-78.0%-78.0%-17.1%-3600.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.6%

Total return

+21.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.41 → -0.73

Residual

+21.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+21.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.