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688551.SS$66.20-0.60%
Fair $66.20+0.0%

688551.SS

Hefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShanghai

$66.20

-0.40 (-0.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $66.20Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $869772.92 · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688551.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

108.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

64.6x

↑

ROE

4.9%

↑

Gross Margin

42.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$66
$28$79

TradingView lightweight chart

688551.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $66.20Periodo +31.1%
Fair value: $66.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.5%

FCF / Net income

0.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $512.6M · net income $63.9M · FCF $18.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.3%-7.5% pts

Operating margin

9.4%-3.3% pts

Net margin

12.5%-4.1% pts

FCF margin

3.5%+21.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$512.6M$512.6M$478.3M$529.0M$375.1M
Net Income$63.9M$63.9M$49.0M$117.1M$62.2M
EBITDA$82.6M$82.6M$64.0M$142.2M$77.8M
EPS0.760.760.591.450.78
Gross Margin42.3%42.3%45.0%52.2%49.8%
Operating Margin9.4%9.4%7.9%21.5%12.6%
Net Margin12.5%12.5%10.3%22.1%16.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.030.030.03
Current Ratio3.543.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$18.1M$18.1M$-61.0M$869772.92$-68.9M
Returns
ROE4.9%4.9%3.8%8.9%6.0%
Valuation
P/E108.52108.5244.9240.3465.24
EV/EBITDA64.6464.6427.9828.3145.31
P/B4.234.231.693.603.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.2%7.2%-9.6%41.0%—
EPS Growth28.8%28.8%-59.3%85.9%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

97.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.87

Spread vs growth

-68.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

56.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.11

Spread vs growth

-27.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.45

Spread vs growth

-2.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +134.1%

Total return

+134.1%

Start / end P/E

48.1x → 87.1x

EPS bridge

0.59 → 0.76

Residual

+23.3%

EPS growth+28.8%
Multiple rerating+81.0%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.