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688562.SS$17.18-0.81%
Fair $17.18+0.0%

688562.SS

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., ltd

Technology / Software - InfrastructureShanghai

$17.18

-0.14 (-0.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.18Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-130.7M · quality 56.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688562.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

116.9x

↑

ROE

-0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

24.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$17
$16$31

TradingView lightweight chart

688562.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.18Periodo -39.9%
Fair value: $17.18

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.7%

FCF / Net income

11.54x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.22B · net income $-11.3M · FCF $-130.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.8%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

0.2%-3.6% pts

Net margin

-0.9%-4.1% pts

FCF margin

-10.7%-15.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.22B$1.22B$1.16B$1.67B$1.89B
Net Income$-11.3M$-11.3M$-82.1M$58.6M$60.1M
EBITDA$46.6M$46.6M$-19.4M$100.1M$102.6M
EPS-0.03-0.03-0.210.160.20
Gross Margin24.8%24.8%20.7%19.7%19.1%
Operating Margin0.2%0.2%-6.9%2.8%3.7%
Net Margin-0.9%-0.9%-7.1%3.5%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.06
Current Ratio2.272.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-130.7M$-130.7M$-218.2M$-122.0M$94.8M
Returns
ROE-0.7%-0.7%-4.7%3.2%10.2%
Valuation
P/E———138.63—
EV/EBITDA116.85116.85—64.56—
P/B3.763.763.294.47—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.6%4.6%-30.2%-12.0%—
EPS Growth85.7%85.7%-231.3%-20.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.1%

Total return

+4.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.21 → -0.03

Residual

+4.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.