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688592.SS$37.58-1.39%
Fair $37.58+0.0%

688592.SS

ComNav Technology Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentShanghai

$37.58

-0.53 (-1.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.58Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-51.1M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688592.SSLocal privado en este navegador · ComNav Technology Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

156.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

90.4x

↑

ROE

1.6%

↓

Gross Margin

51.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$38
$31$58

TradingView lightweight chart

688592.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.64Periodo -24.1%
Fair value: $37.58

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.8%

FCF / Net income

-4.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $530.4M · net income $15.8M · FCF $-78.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

51.3%-5.8% pts

Operating margin

8.2%-5.0% pts

Net margin

3.0%-7.8% pts

FCF margin

-14.8%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$530.4M$530.4M$412.9M$411.7M$335.7M
Net Income$15.8M$15.8M$-33.1M$41.8M$36.2M
EBITDA$26.4M$26.4M$-24.5M$51.7M$44.9M
EPS0.200.20-0.410.620.60
Gross Margin51.3%51.3%48.2%51.5%57.1%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%-1.7%10.2%13.2%
Net Margin3.0%3.0%-8.0%10.2%10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.08
Current Ratio4.304.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-78.3M$-78.3M$59.5M$-51.1M$-65.0M
Returns
ROE1.6%1.6%-3.5%4.1%12.1%
Valuation
P/E156.58156.58—60.14—
EV/EBITDA90.4290.42—36.72—
P/B3.103.102.252.46—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.5%28.5%0.3%22.7%—
EPS Growth148.8%148.8%-165.8%3.8%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

155.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.33

Spread vs growth

-6.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

82.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.03

Spread vs growth

66.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

41.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.50

Spread vs growth

107.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.1%

Total return

+14.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.41 → 0.20

Residual

+13.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.