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688616.SS$12.51+2.12%
Fair $12.51+0.0%

688616.SS

Hangzhou Xili Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShanghai

$12.51

+0.26 (+2.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.51Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $76.2M · quality 35.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 688616.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Xili Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

21.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

↑

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

33.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$13
$11$16

TradingView lightweight chart

688616.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.51Periodo -18.3%
Fair value: $12.51

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

20.4%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $566.4M · net income $104.0M · FCF $115.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.1%+6.8% pts

Operating margin

21.2%+9.4% pts

Net margin

18.4%+6.6% pts

FCF margin

20.4%+27.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$566.4M$566.4M$587.1M$565.2M$542.3M
Net Income$104.0M$104.0M$103.7M$74.5M$63.6M
EBITDA$147.4M$147.4M$141.8M$108.9M$83.6M
EPS0.590.590.590.410.35
Gross Margin33.1%33.1%31.6%27.1%26.3%
Operating Margin21.2%21.2%19.8%13.4%11.8%
Net Margin18.4%18.4%17.7%13.2%11.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity————0.00
Current Ratio4.044.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$115.6M$115.6M$60.4M$76.2M$-40.5M
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%12.5%9.2%8.4%
Valuation
P/E21.2021.2016.5827.8326.90
EV/EBITDA12.0812.089.8716.0617.14
P/B2.482.482.072.572.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.5%-3.5%3.9%4.2%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%43.9%17.1%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

-23.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

-17.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.16

Spread vs growth

-13.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.9%

Total return

+11.9%

Start / end P/E

19.4x → 21.2x

EPS bridge

0.59 → 0.59

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating+9.5%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.