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688628.SS$83.78+3.34%
Fair $83.78+0.0%

688628.SS

Uni-Trend Technology (China) Co., Ltd.

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsShanghai

$83.78

+2.71 (+3.34%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $83.78Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $67.7M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 688628.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Uni-Trend Technology (China) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.4B

P/E

53.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

45.8x

↑

ROE

12.0%

↑

Gross Margin

43.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$84
$30$108

TradingView lightweight chart

688628.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $83.78Periodo +17.0%
Fair value: $83.78

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.22B · net income $151.2M · FCF $-34.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.2%+6.9% pts

Operating margin

12.4%-0.8% pts

Net margin

12.4%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

-2.8%-1.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.22B$1.22B$1.13B$1.02B$891.4M
Net Income$151.2M$151.2M$183.4M$161.4M$117.4M
EBITDA$204.1M$204.1M$240.9M$212.1M$158.6M
EPS1.361.361.661.461.06
Gross Margin43.2%43.2%45.2%43.3%36.3%
Operating Margin12.4%12.4%17.1%16.6%13.2%
Net Margin12.4%12.4%16.2%15.8%13.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.100.030.00
Current Ratio2.802.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-34.0M$-34.0M$67.7M$83.5M$-12.2M
Returns
ROE12.0%12.0%14.8%13.6%11.1%
Valuation
P/E53.7153.7120.9624.7631.42
EV/EBITDA45.7645.7615.5217.4223.03
P/B7.367.363.113.363.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.0%8.0%10.8%14.4%—
EPS Growth-18.1%-18.1%13.7%37.7%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

76.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.43

Spread vs growth

-94.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

45.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.00

Spread vs growth

-64.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$14.49

Spread vs growth

-44.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +142.9%

Total return

+142.9%

Start / end P/E

20.9x → 61.6x

EPS bridge

1.66 → 1.36

Residual

-35.2%

EPS growth-18.1%
Multiple rerating+194.6%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.