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688695.SS$21.79-3.84%
Fair $21.79+0.0%

688695.SS

Shandong Cvicse Middleware Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationShanghai

$21.79

-0.87 (-3.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.79Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-50.4M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 688695.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Cvicse Middleware Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

84.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$22
$22$35

TradingView lightweight chart

688695.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.79Periodo -55.2%
Fair value: $21.79

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-34.0%

FCF / Net income

1.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $148.6M · net income $-27.7M · FCF $-50.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

84.3%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

-1.3%-38.9% pts

Net margin

-18.6%-50.5% pts

FCF margin

-34.0%-22.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$148.6M$148.6M$194.3M$179.9M$137.4M
Net Income$-27.7M$-27.7M$38.7M$66.7M$43.8M
EBITDA$-9.4M$-9.4M$55.0M$83.0M$56.4M
EPS-0.33-0.330.491.050.69
Gross Margin84.3%84.3%83.7%91.8%83.7%
Operating Margin-1.3%-1.3%28.1%45.3%37.6%
Net Margin-18.6%-18.6%19.9%37.1%31.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.030.05
Current Ratio17.6717.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-50.4M$-50.4M$-78.1M$3.0M$-16.4M
Returns
ROE-3.6%-3.6%4.8%16.9%13.4%
Valuation
P/E——57.65——
EV/EBITDA——37.37——
P/B2.402.402.96——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.5%-23.5%8.0%30.9%—
EPS Growth-167.3%-167.3%-53.3%52.2%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.7%

Total return

-25.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.49 → -0.33

Residual

-26.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.