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6898.HK$0.70+0.00%
Fair $0.70+0.0%

6898.HK

China Aluminum Cans Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersHKSE

$0.70

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.70Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $35.0M · quality 84.3/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 6898.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Aluminum Cans Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$661M

P/E

35.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.0x

↑

ROE

7.8%

↑

Gross Margin

24.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

6898.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.700Periodo -47.0%
Fair value: $0.700

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.4%

FCF CAGR

+17.8%

FCF margin

17.4%

FCF / Net income

2.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $233.0M · net income $19.0M · FCF $40.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.7%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

11.7%+1.5% pts

Net margin

8.2%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

17.4%+5.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$233.0M$233.0M$227.8M$235.5M$210.5M
Net Income$19.0M$19.0M$18.4M$21.5M$20.5M
EBITDA$41.0M$41.0M$41.9M$47.2M$43.5M
EPS——0.010.020.01
Gross Margin24.7%24.7%27.0%29.6%25.9%
Operating Margin11.7%11.7%12.8%15.3%10.2%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%8.1%9.1%9.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio4.304.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$40.6M$40.6M$30.6M$35.0M$24.9M
Returns
ROE7.8%7.8%7.3%6.9%5.7%
Valuation
P/E35.0035.0038.0035.0022.33
EV/EBITDA15.0115.0115.6914.648.18
P/B2.722.722.722.331.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.3%2.3%-3.3%11.9%—
EPS Growth——-6.3%6.7%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +30.2%

Total return

+30.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → n/d

Residual

+29.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+29.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.