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6911.HK$2.40+0.00%
Fair $2.40+0.0%

6911.HK

Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsHKSE

$2.40

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.40Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-99.4M · quality 43.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -14.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6911.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$360M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-14.4%

↓

Gross Margin

52.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.70

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$6

TradingView lightweight chart

6911.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.400Periodo -72.4%
Fair value: $2.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-45.4%

FCF / Net income

1.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $218.7M · net income $-91.0M · FCF $-99.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

52.3%-13.5% pts

Operating margin

-20.8%-41.7% pts

Net margin

-41.6%-57.2% pts

FCF margin

-45.4%-40.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$218.7M$218.7M$361.3M$527.3M$462.9M
Net Income$-91.0M$-91.0M$-307.5M$80.1M$72.2M
EBITDA$-35.8M$-35.8M$-227.3M$168.4M$147.7M
EPS——-2.440.840.57
Gross Margin52.3%52.3%55.2%67.0%65.9%
Operating Margin-20.8%-20.8%-15.0%20.3%20.9%
Net Margin-41.6%-41.6%-85.1%15.2%15.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.700.700.710.380.48
Current Ratio2.182.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-99.4M$-99.4M$-145.8M$6.1M$-23.3M
Returns
ROE-14.4%-14.4%-45.8%7.9%9.1%
Valuation
P/E———12.25—
EV/EBITDA———6.56—
P/B0.570.570.950.97—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-39.5%-39.5%-31.5%13.9%—
EPS Growth——-390.3%46.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.3%

Total return

-21.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.44 → n/d

Residual

-21.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.