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6918.T$3415.00+0.00%
Fair $3415.00+0.0%

6918.T

Aval Data Corporation

Technology / Computer HardwareTokyo

$3415.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3415.00Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 2/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1B · quality 29.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 6918.TLocal privado en este navegador · Aval Data Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.9B

P/E

37.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

5.7%

↑

Gross Margin

30.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$3415
$1977$3790

TradingView lightweight chart

6918.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,525Periodo +341.2%
Fair value: $3,415

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.98B · net income $1.14B · FCF $-1.13B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.3%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

12.9%-6.7% pts

Net margin

10.4%-4.9% pts

FCF margin

-10.3%-6.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.98B$10.98B$12.58B$14.39B$9.80B
Net Income$1.14B$1.14B$5.26B$4.27B$1.49B
EBITDA$1.62B$1.62B$2.22B$2.50B$2.03B
EPS184.71184.71853.67694.01243.15
Gross Margin30.3%30.3%32.5%29.3%35.7%
Operating Margin12.9%12.9%16.7%16.7%19.7%
Net Margin10.4%10.4%41.8%29.7%15.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio3.873.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.13B$-1.13B$-3.38B$176.9M$-366.3M
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%23.1%20.5%8.1%
Valuation
P/E37.4037.406.225.4212.34
EV/EBITDA9.229.2210.665.676.22
P/B1.051.051.441.111.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.7%-12.7%-12.6%46.9%—
EPS Growth-78.4%-78.4%23.0%185.4%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$303.02

Spread vs growth

-96.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$366.66

Spread vs growth

-93.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$590.51

Spread vs growth

-90.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +74.5%

Total return

+74.5%

Start / end P/E

2.4x → 19.1x

EPS bridge

853.67 → 184.71

Residual

-542.3%

EPS growth-78.4%
Multiple rerating+692.0%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-542.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.