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6929.T$3980.00+2.84%
Fair $3980.00+0.0%

6929.T

Nippon Ceramic Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTokyo

$3980.00

+110.00 (+2.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3980.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 70/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.7B · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 79/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

70/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6929.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Ceramic Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$82.4B

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

14.7%

↑

Gross Margin

31.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$3980
$2725$4280

TradingView lightweight chart

6929.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,980Periodo +82.2%
Fair value: $3,980

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.5%

FCF CAGR

-3.0%

FCF margin

10.0%

FCF / Net income

0.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $27.32B · net income $7.00B · FCF $2.75B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.4%+2.1% pts

Operating margin

22.8%+4.8% pts

Net margin

25.6%+4.0% pts

FCF margin

10.0%-2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$27.32B$27.32B$25.04B$24.45B$23.26B
Net Income$7.00B$7.00B$4.16B$3.69B$5.02B
EBITDA$7.55B$7.55B$6.33B$6.07B$5.48B
EPS324.59324.59181.29156.55206.00
Gross Margin31.4%31.4%28.7%28.0%29.3%
Operating Margin22.8%22.8%19.8%18.7%18.0%
Net Margin25.6%25.6%16.6%15.1%21.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.01
Current Ratio10.6410.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.75B$2.75B$4.98B$3.69B$3.01B
Returns
ROE14.7%14.7%8.3%7.3%10.3%
Valuation
P/E12.2512.2514.1217.3211.13
EV/EBITDA7.417.414.195.244.65
P/B1.801.801.181.271.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.1%9.1%2.4%5.1%—
EPS Growth79.0%79.0%15.8%-24.0%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$353.16

Spread vs growth

76.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$427.32

Spread vs growth

73.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$688.21

Spread vs growth

71.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +44.8%

Total return

+44.8%

Start / end P/E

15.6x → 12.3x

EPS bridge

181.29 → 324.59

Residual

-17.0%

EPS growth+79.0%
Multiple rerating-21.5%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.