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6982.T$581.00-0.51%
Fair $581.00+0.0%

6982.T

The Lead Co., Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsTokyo

$581.00

-3.00 (-0.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $581.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $215.3M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6982.TLocal privado en este navegador · The Lead Co., Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

13.6x

↑

ROE

-4.0%

↓

Gross Margin

12.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.43

↑
52-Week Range$581
$535$679

TradingView lightweight chart

6982.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $581.00Periodo -40.4%
Fair value: $581.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.9%

FCF / Net income

3.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.19B · net income $-105.0M · FCF $-332.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.3%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

-2.2%+4.6% pts

Net margin

-2.5%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

-7.9%-18.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.19B$4.19B$5.06B$5.02B$3.96B
Net Income$-105.0M$-105.0M$48.5M$184.9M$-188.1M
EBITDA$278.2M$278.2M$509.4M$726.5M$303.8M
EPS-40.53-40.5318.7971.87-73.10
Gross Margin12.3%12.3%12.8%14.3%6.6%
Operating Margin-2.2%-2.2%0.2%2.8%-6.8%
Net Margin-2.5%-2.5%1.0%3.7%-4.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.431.431.241.401.70
Current Ratio1.051.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-332.1M$-332.1M$215.3M$328.6M$432.7M
Returns
ROE-4.0%-4.0%1.7%7.1%-7.8%
Valuation
P/E——32.7811.38—
EV/EBITDA13.5813.587.005.7211.91
P/B0.580.580.550.810.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.3%-17.3%0.7%26.7%—
EPS Growth-315.7%-315.7%-73.9%198.3%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.2%

Total return

+4.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

18.79 → -40.53

Residual

+2.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.