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6995.T$2853.00-2.63%
Fair $2853.00+0.0%

6995.T

Tokai Rika Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsTokyo

$2853.00

-77.00 (-2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2853.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.6B · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6995.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokai Rika Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$242.8B

P/E

7.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

8.8%

↑

Gross Margin

14.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$2853
$2082$3375

TradingView lightweight chart

6995.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,853Periodo +256.2%
Fair value: $2,853

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.4%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $617.66B · net income $27.81B · FCF $8.57B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.5%+3.2% pts

Operating margin

5.7%+3.8% pts

Net margin

4.5%+3.8% pts

FCF margin

1.4%+2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$617.66B$617.66B$623.56B$553.12B$487.30B
Net Income$27.81B$27.81B$24.85B$10.90B$3.57B
EBITDA$60.81B$60.81B$56.35B$42.56B$31.90B
EPS——276.80119.3739.10
Gross Margin14.5%14.5%14.7%11.7%11.3%
Operating Margin5.7%5.7%4.6%3.0%1.9%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%4.0%2.0%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.040.04
Current Ratio2.512.51———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.57B$8.57B$26.40B$4.22B$-3.40B
Returns
ROE8.8%8.8%7.8%3.9%1.3%
Valuation
P/E6.986.988.9213.2335.93
EV/EBITDA2.942.942.832.012.54
P/B0.770.770.700.520.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.9%-0.9%12.7%13.5%—
EPS Growth——131.9%205.3%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.1%

Total return

+38.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

276.80 → n/d

Residual

+33.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+33.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.