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6996.T$3970.00+5.31%
Fair $3970.00+0.0%

6996.T

Nichicon Corporation

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTokyo

$3970.00

+200.00 (+5.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3970.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 69/B
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.0B · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

69/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 6996.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nichicon Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$266.6B

P/E

40.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.5x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↑

Gross Margin

16.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.23

↑
52-Week Range$3970
$1110$4290

TradingView lightweight chart

6996.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,970Periodo +151.3%
Fair value: $3,970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

1.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $175.75B · net income $5.88B · FCF $7.70B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.1%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

3.0%-1.6% pts

Net margin

3.3%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

4.4%+6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$175.75B$175.75B$181.64B$184.72B$142.20B
Net Income$5.88B$5.88B$8.25B$7.81B$7.90B
EBITDA$17.10B$17.10B$17.62B$17.58B$15.69B
EPS108.98108.98108.98103.21104.39
Gross Margin16.1%16.1%17.2%18.3%17.2%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%4.9%6.9%4.5%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%4.5%4.2%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.320.340.28
Current Ratio2.282.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.70B$7.70B$4.04B$-164.0M$-2.63B
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%7.4%7.9%8.6%
Valuation
P/E40.1640.1611.6412.8310.24
EV/EBITDA12.5412.545.806.185.65
P/B1.941.940.871.010.88
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.2%-3.2%-1.7%29.9%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%5.6%-1.1%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

47.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$352.27

Spread vs growth

-47.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$426.25

Spread vs growth

-31.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$686.48

Spread vs growth

-20.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +252.0%

Total return

+252.0%

Start / end P/E

10.4x → 36.4x

EPS bridge

108.98 → 108.98

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating+251.0%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.