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6998.T$2049.00-0.54%
Fair $2049.00+0.0%

6998.T

Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Metal FabricationTokyo

$2049.00

-11.00 (-0.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2049.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $95.0M · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6998.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.0B

P/E

36.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

5.4%

↓

Gross Margin

23.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$2049
$1141$2535

TradingView lightweight chart

6998.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,040Periodo +40.7%
Fair value: $2,049

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.0%

FCF CAGR

-61.0%

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.39B · net income $676.0M · FCF $95.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.6%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

5.6%-2.0% pts

Net margin

5.5%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

0.8%-12.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.39B$12.39B$11.46B$12.64B$12.04B
Net Income$676.0M$676.0M$527.0M$767.0M$870.0M
EBITDA$1.61B$1.61B$1.23B$1.57B$1.83B
EPS139.23139.23108.59158.34—
Gross Margin23.6%23.6%22.3%24.1%25.0%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%4.2%7.3%7.6%
Net Margin5.5%5.5%4.6%6.1%7.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.210.220.23
Current Ratio2.182.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$95.0M$95.0M$-830.0M$951.0M$1.60B
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%4.4%6.8%8.1%
Valuation
P/E36.7036.7011.538.07—
EV/EBITDA5.635.634.142.652.09
P/B0.790.790.500.550.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%-9.3%5.0%—
EPS Growth28.2%28.2%-31.4%——
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$181.81

Spread vs growth

18.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$220.00

Spread vs growth

18.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$354.31

Spread vs growth

18.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +72.1%

Total return

+72.1%

Start / end P/E

11.1x → 14.7x

EPS bridge

108.59 → 139.23

Residual

+9.0%

EPS growth+28.2%
Multiple rerating+31.9%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.