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6999.T$2820.00-3.49%
Fair $2820.00+0.0%

6999.T

KOA Corporation

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTokyo

$2820.00

-102.00 (-3.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2820.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-10.7B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6999.TLocal privado en este navegador · KOA Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$104.7B

P/E

26.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.4x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

28.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.57

↑
52-Week Range$2820
$799$2999

TradingView lightweight chart

6999.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,820Periodo +43.1%
Fair value: $2,820

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-27.2%

FCF / Net income

-66.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $64.12B · net income $260.0M · FCF $-17.41B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.3%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-7.0% pts

Net margin

0.4%-6.9% pts

FCF margin

-27.2%-29.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$64.12B$64.12B$64.83B$75.07B$64.95B
Net Income$260.0M$260.0M$2.77B$7.37B$4.77B
EBITDA$7.48B$7.48B$9.03B$13.96B$10.11B
EPS7.027.0274.66198.75—
Gross Margin28.3%28.3%30.1%34.2%28.4%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%5.1%13.6%8.8%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%4.3%9.8%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.570.570.400.230.10
Current Ratio2.522.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-17.41B$-17.41B$-10.74B$-3.07B$1.22B
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%3.5%10.0%7.1%
Valuation
P/E26.5126.5119.348.68—
EV/EBITDA16.3716.375.943.753.22
P/B1.341.340.680.870.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.1%-1.1%-13.6%15.6%—
EPS Growth-90.6%-90.6%-62.4%——
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

229.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$250.23

Spread vs growth

-319.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

112.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$302.78

Spread vs growth

-202.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

52.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$487.62

Spread vs growth

-143.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +249.5%

Total return

+249.5%

Start / end P/E

10.8x → 401.7x

EPS bridge

74.66 → 7.02

Residual

-3263.9%

EPS growth-90.6%
Multiple rerating+3602.7%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3263.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.