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7018.T$9590.00-4.39%
Fair $9590.00+0.0%

7018.T

Naikai Zosen Corporation

Industrials / Aerospace & DefenseTokyo

$9590.00

-440.00 (-4.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9590.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.4B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7018.TLocal privado en este navegador · Naikai Zosen Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.3B

P/E

7.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

↓

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

5.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$9590
$4790$20540

TradingView lightweight chart

7018.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9,590Periodo +859.0%
Fair value: $9,590

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.0%

FCF / Net income

-5.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.65B · net income $1.02B · FCF $-5.38B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.9%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

3.2%+1.8% pts

Net margin

2.3%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

-12.0%-44.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$44.65B$44.65B$46.38B$37.62B$33.03B
Net Income$1.02B$1.02B$2.26B$737.0M$143.0M
EBITDA$2.04B$2.04B$3.39B$1.97B$1.27B
EPS600.56600.561333.94435.0784.49
Gross Margin5.9%5.9%9.4%5.1%4.9%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%6.9%2.0%1.4%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%4.9%2.0%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.921.271.43
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.38B$-5.38B$6.75B$-6.38B$10.78B
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%23.2%9.9%2.1%
Valuation
P/E7.077.073.333.6316.23
EV/EBITDA8.448.440.501.41-3.35
P/B1.501.500.770.360.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.7%-3.7%23.3%13.9%—
EPS Growth-55.0%-55.0%206.6%414.9%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$850.95

Spread vs growth

-67.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1029.65

Spread vs growth

-66.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1658.27

Spread vs growth

-65.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +100.0%

Total return

+100.0%

Start / end P/E

3.6x → 16.0x

EPS bridge

1333.94 → 600.56

Residual

-188.7%

EPS growth-55.0%
Multiple rerating+343.3%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-188.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.