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v0.1
7048.T$130.00-2.26%
Fair $130.00+0.0%

7048.T

VELTRA Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesTokyo

$130.00

-3.00 (-2.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $130.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $920.2M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 52/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7048.TLocal privado en este navegador · VELTRA Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

34.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

-3.2x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↑

Gross Margin

2.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$130
$126$320

TradingView lightweight chart

7048.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $130.00Periodo -73.9%
Fair value: $130.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+57.9%

FCF CAGR

+84.6%

FCF margin

20.1%

FCF / Net income

6.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.58B · net income $140.5M · FCF $920.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.3%+70.6% pts

Operating margin

2.3%+70.6% pts

Net margin

3.1%+71.3% pts

FCF margin

20.1%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.58B$4.58B$4.30B$3.12B$1.16B
Net Income$140.5M$140.5M$-407.9M$-57.7M$-794.4M
EBITDA$288.9M$288.9M$-249.5M$45.0M$-551.3M
EPS——-11.18-1.62-22.92
Gross Margin2.3%2.3%-4.1%-2.1%-68.3%
Operating Margin2.3%2.3%-4.1%-2.1%-68.3%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%-9.5%-1.8%-68.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.370.37
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$920.2M$920.2M$459.6M$1.19B$146.3M
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%-16.2%-4.3%-58.1%
Valuation
P/E34.2134.21———
EV/EBITDA-3.22-3.22—372.22—
P/B1.801.803.9214.8515.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.4%6.4%37.8%168.4%—
EPS Growth——-590.1%92.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -58.3%

Total return

-58.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-11.18 → n/d

Residual

-58.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-58.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.