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v0.1
7102.T$3225.00-0.46%
Fair $3225.00+0.0%

7102.T

Nippon Sharyo, Ltd.

Industrials / RailroadsTokyo

$3225.00

-15.00 (-0.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3225.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.4B · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 7102.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Sharyo, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$46.5B

P/E

4.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

9.9%

↑

Gross Margin

15.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$3225
$2020$4425

TradingView lightweight chart

7102.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,225Periodo +69.7%
Fair value: $3,225

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $96.34B · net income $6.42B · FCF $-1.38B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.2%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

7.2%+0.6% pts

Net margin

6.7%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

-1.4%-14.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$96.34B$96.34B$88.06B$97.97B$94.02B
Net Income$6.42B$6.42B$5.38B$3.12B$5.23B
EBITDA$10.96B$10.96B$8.95B$7.26B$9.08B
EPS444.62444.62372.93216.08—
Gross Margin15.2%15.2%16.0%12.8%14.1%
Operating Margin7.2%7.2%6.9%4.6%6.6%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%6.1%3.2%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.620.841.12
Current Ratio1.861.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.38B$-1.38B$-4.51B$5.42B$11.95B
Returns
ROE9.9%9.9%8.6%6.1%10.9%
Valuation
P/E3.993.996.749.26—
EV/EBITDA7.217.217.969.378.81
P/B0.720.720.580.570.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.4%9.4%-10.1%4.2%—
EPS Growth19.2%19.2%72.6%——
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$286.17

Spread vs growth

32.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$346.26

Spread vs growth

24.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$557.65

Spread vs growth

16.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +57.8%

Total return

+57.8%

Start / end P/E

5.5x → 7.3x

EPS bridge

372.93 → 444.62

Residual

+6.0%

EPS growth+19.2%
Multiple rerating+31.1%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.